Wednesday, July 30, 2008

Another bit of hindsight bias

Here is a link to a political blog called Talking Points Memo. In this post, Josh Marshall suggests that separate incidents of political advertising by Senator McCain will be seen after the election as parts of a congruent whole, as part of, in Marshall's opinion, a not-very-admirable campaign strategy. During the heat of the campaign the news media, however, do not seem to connect these separate incidents. That is to say, what is not obvious now will seem very clear in hindsight.

Marshall's blog is generally described as liberal or left-leaning and you may not agree with his conclusions. For the moment I am more interested in his application of the concept of hindsight bias.


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